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80 year moving average data



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20-09-2015 06:40
DRKTS
★★☆☆☆
(166)
arthur18 wrote:
DKRTS and Surface Detail,

Don't worry guys, it's just a matter of time before people like myself and others who dare question bureaucracy will either be silenced or jailed and then you will have the world that you wished for and your children's children will be very happy as long as they accept everything they are told and never question anything. They will find out what's it like to live in today's China.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/09/19/climate-science-turned-monster/

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/09/19/climate-alarmists-demand-obama-use-the-rico-act-to-silence-critics/

http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/rex-murphy-leap-manifesto-is-luthers-95-theses-for-the-climate-haunted

http://godfatherpolitics.com/14803/us-professor-lawrence-torcello-says-climate-change-skeptics-jailed/

http://www.quebecoislibre.org/08/080315-3.htm

http://pjmedia.com/tatler/2014/03/29/gawkers-adam-weinstein-wants-to-put-you-in-jail-for-being-a-climate-change-denier/

http://yellowhammernews.com/business-2/alabama-connection-rfk-jr-thinks-global-warming-skeptics-jailed/

http://www.climatedepot.com/2009/06/03/execute-skeptics-shock-call-to-action-at-what-point-do-we-jail-or-execute-global-warming-deniers-shouldnt-we-start-punishing-them-now/

The governments of the world will turn your children's children into mindless robots well before the climate does any harm to them.


Not a single reputable source there. All funded by fossil fuel companies to distribute disinformation.
20-09-2015 08:41
MEJ
☆☆☆☆☆
(1)
seaninak wrote:
I'm a structural engineer. I make my living designing structures in the arctic. I have studied temperature data very closely because it factors into projections for ice formation, permafrost temperature and many other aspects of what I design.

Several years ago, I was gathering data for a site for the design of a bridge. Using the 50+ years of temperature data for Barrow, Alaska I generated a Freezing Index chart to determine the trends for use in our project. Just for entertainment, I fit a linear regression to the data to see if I could see "Global Warming" in the data. Sure enough, you could clearly see a decline in the Freezing Index over the 50 year period corresponding with a warming trend in the data. However, I also noticed that there was more of a curve to the chart than a linear representation captured. When a curve was fit to the data, it corresponded with a sinusoidal function with a period of approximately 80 years.

On a hunch, I did some looking at what solar cycles might be in that range. Interestingly, there is a solar cycle, the Glyssberg Cycle for solar irradiance/sunspot activity. Looking for some means of validating a hypothesis over such a long time frame, I searched for corresponding temperature and sunspot data that could be compared with each other to see if there is any relationship. I found the Central England Temperature Record (1659 to present) and a historical sunspot record over that same time period (give or take a few years). I plotted several moving averages of temperature vs sunspot count. Year to year, 11 year, 22 year...many others I got very little correlation. However, at 80 years the correlation is striking. I would invite any of you to duplicate what I've done and see it for yourself. The two records are very tightly correlated, and you can see the 80 year moving average of sunspot count is at the highest point ever recorded in the last 350 years. Is it just a coincidence that the temperature has risen and fallen with this moving average consistently during that time frame? See the attached chart and let me know what you think.


You have correlated data for Barrow Alaska with Central England and 'Glyssberg' cycle. It has no relevance to GLOBAL Warming vs GLOBAL Total
Solar Irradiance

Feulner & Rahmstorf 2010 show even a GRAND Solar Minimum will have a slight effect on Global temperatures.



So you can see Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) has little forcing on GLOBAL Temperatures.

It is indeed a coincidence.
20-09-2015 08:49
arthur18
☆☆☆☆☆
(42)
DKRTS wrote

"All funded by fossil fuel companies to distribute disinformation."

Are you a comedian?
20-09-2015 18:55
DRKTS
★★☆☆☆
(166)
arthur18 wrote:
DKRTS wrote

"All funded by fossil fuel companies to distribute disinformation."

Are you a comedian?


No, but my wife thinks I have a great sense of humour!
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