|Accuracy of climate model predictions: links15-02-2011 04:19|
|Climate models have been and are extremely accurate:|
Edited on 15-02-2011 04:27
Climate models have been and are extremely accurate:
No, we don't yet know how accurate climate models are. Climate models do not provide evidence , they provide hypotheses that must be checked against the climate record. There has been insufficient time elapsed to draw any conclusions about their accurcy.
|Hayduke: They have been verified. Many times. The real issue is which model to choose. For the most part, the models are more about what happens when we as a people decide to do anything. i.e. do we keep burning at a tremendous rate, or do we pull back to 1990 levels? etc.|
Check out our arctic circle;
As expected the arctic's heat is vastly higher than the world's average temperature. As predicted.
In days gone by (1991 ish) there was a contest to simulate what would happen if we suddenly released huge amounts of CO2 from 1 location. You got it.... It was Saddam lighting the oil fields on fire.
1 year later, they compared their predicted future of the mideast region, and the actual temperature changes.
More than half were spot on... the other half were off by a bit. (Some downright wrong.)
More to the point, all predicted the warming of the region, which then occurred.
I well and truly wish I could find any papers on it. What I saw was a military presentation.
|Here's a nice little collection of predictions that failed.||5||16-08-2021 06:38|
|Storm Predictions||41||10-02-2021 05:38|
|How A New Business Model Can Easily Destroy Big Tech Companies Like Google, Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, Al||9||10-01-2021 04:45|
|a new model of global warming (before 10000BC)||21||28-02-2020 20:11|
|wikipedia accuracy||96||05-02-2020 05:56|