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The IPCC overestimates climate sensitivity


The IPCC overestimates climate sensitivity13-09-2018 13:24
One Punch Man
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(116)
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).



Nathan-D
13-09-2018 20:53
Into the Night
★★★★★
(5881)
One Punch Man wrote:
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).


Buzzwords. What does 'climate sensitivity' mean?


The Parrot Killer
14-09-2018 18:57
Tim the plumber
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(1251)
One Punch Man wrote:
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).


Nice graph, are there any studies/papers what so ever which have the numbers the IPCC uses or more?

I am aware that the numbers they use for ice mass balance on Greenland etc are bull so....
14-09-2018 20:11
James___
★★★☆☆
(739)
Tim the plumber wrote:
One Punch Man wrote:
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).


Nice graph, are there any studies/papers what so ever which have the numbers the IPCC uses or more?

I am aware that the numbers they use for ice mass balance on Greenland etc are bull so....



...I still think it's funny when the IPCC came out with 2 papers in 2013. One said there was a 15 year global warming hiatus and the other said that for the previous 15 years ozone depletion had about stopped. Then they went and said they had been collecting temperature readings wrong. And everyone said "okay".
15-09-2018 06:15
still learning
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(217)
One Punch Man wrote:
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).


How did you choose your data to graph?

Some of your data was used in the IPCC5 report such as Lindzen and Choi 2011 and Lewis 2013 as you can see if you view box 12.2 figure 1 on page 1110 here http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter12_FINAL.pdf, data that has lower values than the middle of the range that IPCC has chosen (range 1.5 to 4.5 degrees), 3 degrees.

You left out a lot of the data on that figure though, data that is above 3 degrees.

How did you choose?
15-09-2018 19:47
Into the Night
★★★★★
(5881)
still learning wrote:
One Punch Man wrote:
A graph I made showing how the IPCC overestimates Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Sensitivity (TCS).


How did you choose your data to graph?

Some of your data was used in the IPCC5 report such as Lindzen and Choi 2011 and Lewis 2013 as you can see if you view box 12.2 figure 1 on page 1110 here http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter12_FINAL.pdf, data that has lower values than the middle of the range that IPCC has chosen (range 1.5 to 4.5 degrees), 3 degrees.

You left out a lot of the data on that figure though, data that is above 3 degrees.

How did you choose?


There is no such thing as 'climate sensitivity'.


The Parrot Killer




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